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1. 题库64
The following appeared in a memorandum from the Director of Human Resources to the executive officers of Company X.
“Last year, we surveyed our employees on improvements needed at Company X by having them rank, in order of importance, the issues presented in a list of possible improvements. Improved communications between employees and management was consistently ranked as the issue of highest importance by the employees who responded to the survey. As you know, we have since instituted regular communications sessions conducted by high-level management, which the employees can attend on a voluntary basis. Therore, it is likely that most employees at Company X now feel that the improvement most needed at the company has been made.
人力资源经理给X公司的经营主管的备忘录:
去年,我们向员工调查他们认为X公司应该进行的改进,让他们把改进按重要性排列。结果列印为一张可能的改进的表格。根据调查中员工的反应,“加强员工和管理层的沟通”最具重要性,稳居调查表之首。如你所知,那以后我们建立了由高层管理人员组织,雇员可以自愿参加的常规交流会。因此,看来X的多数员工认为最应该进行的改进已经完成了。
A. First of all, the arguer needs to provide more information to validate the survey.
B. In addition, the list used in the survey may not have included all the important issues with which the employees are concerned.
C. Finally, the assumption that the employeed are satisfied with the regular communications sessions lacks credibility because no evidence is given in this respect.
2. 题库14
The following appeared as part of a newspaper editorial.
“Two years ago Nova High School began to use interactive computer instruction in three academic subjects. The school dropout rate declined immediately, and last year’s graduates have reported some impressive achievements in college. In future budgets the school board should use a greater portion of the available funds to buy more computers, and all schools in the district should adopt interactive computer instruction throughout the curriculum.”
报纸社论(editoral):
两年前Nova高中开始在3个科学科目中使用互动计算机指导。学校的退学率立刻下降,而且去年的毕业生在大学取得了一些很不错的成绩。在未来的预算中,校董事会应该在能得到的资金中拨出更大的一块用来购买更多的计算机。而且这一区的所有学校都应该在课程中采用互动计算机指导。
OverSimplification--the decline in the school dropout rate and the use of interactive computer instruction do not necessarily imply causality
All Thing Equal--just because the computers worked in one subject does not mean that they will work in all subjects, so they might not want to implement it "throughout the curriculum"
InsufficientSample--the evidence the author provides is insufficient to support the conclusion drawn from it. The fact that some graduates reported some impressive achievements in college does not necessarily allow us to establish the general conclusion that the computer instruction is helping students to achieve success. Unless it can be shown that the school does not usually produce graduates who report impressive achievments, and it can also be shown that the computer instruction influenced the students to make those achievements the conclusion drawn is unwarranted.
A. First of all, this argument commits a fallacy of post hoc, ergo propter hoc.
B. Second, the conclusion is based on the gratuitous assumption that Nova High School’s “success” in using interactive computer instruction in only three subjects would ensure a similar sweeping success in adopting computer instruction throughout the curriculum of all schools in the district.
3.题库124
The following appeared in a memorandum from the owner of Carlo’s Clothing to the staff.
“Since Disc Depot, the music store on the next block, began a new radio advertising campaign last year, its business has grown dramatically, as evidenced by the large increase in foot traffic into the store. While the Disc Depot’s owners have apparently become wealthy enough to retire, profits at Carlo’s Clothing have remained stagnant for the past three years. In order to boost our sales and profits, we should therore switch from newspaper advertising to frequent radio advertisements like those for Disc Depot.”
Carlo&aposs服饰老板给员工的备忘录:
由于Disc Depot,相邻街区的音像店从去年开始新的电台广告,它的业务显著增长,从商店人流量的大量增加就可以看出。当Disc Depot的老板显然已经足够富有可以退休时,Carlo&aposs服饰的利润3年来一直停滞不变(stagneant)。为了促进我们的销售和利润,我们应该像DiscDepot一样从报纸广告转向经常的电台广告
A. First, the argument rests on a fallacy of post hoc, ergo propter hoc.
B. Another problem with this argument is that it suffers from a false analogy.
Amy GUO 经验: 16年 案例:4272 擅长:美国,澳洲,亚洲,欧洲
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