GMAT考试作文机经AA部分 5月8日更新（十三）.

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　　21.(2次)

　　原始寂静：

　　V1(BY：taooo)一个叫Avia的公司推出了个什么政策，然后调查发现只有1%的人对该政策不满，所以结论就是Avia不用反思该公司的目标。。。感觉就是上月那个什么咖啡馆的变体，所有的点都可以从那篇文章上迁移过来。

　　原题：

　　The following appeared in an Avia Airlines departmental memorandum.

　　“On average, 9 out of every 1,000 passengers who traveled on Avia Airlines last year filed a complaint about our baggage-handling procedures. This means that although some 1 percent of our passengers were unhappy with those procedures, the overwhelming majority were quite satisfied with them; thus it would appear that a review of the procedures is not important to our goal of maintaining or increasing the number of Avia’s passengers.”

　　Avia航空的部门备忘录：

　　平均地，去年乘坐Avia的1000个乘客中有9个针对我们的行李处理流程写了投诉信。这说明虽然有大约1%的乘客对这一流程表示不满，乘客的主体对它还是满意的。所以对流程的重新审查对我们要保持和提高Avia的乘客数这一目标不是很重要的。

　　七宗罪思路：

　　1. Gratuitous assumption：因为1%写了投诉信就假设只有1%的客人不满，就假设主体满意，不对

　　2. All things are equal:去年的调查不能代表未来

　　3. False casual relationship：因为满意度和乘客数量无因果关系，不能把这当作确定目标的因素

　　4. Either or choice:因为1%不写投诉信就说另一半是满意的不对，也有很多乘客可以表示不满意但没有写投诉信

　　参考范文：

　　The conclusion in this Avia Airlines memorandum is that a review of the airline’s baggage-handling procedures will not further its goal of maintaining or increasing the number of Avia passengers. The author’s line of reasoning is that the great majority of Avia passengers are happy with baggage handling at the airline because only one percent of passengers who traveled on Avia last year filed a complaint about Avia’s procedures. This argument is problematic in two important respects.

　　First, the argument turns on the assumption that the 99 percent of Avia passengers who did not complain were happy with the airline’s baggage-handling procedures. However, the author provides no evidence to support this assumption. The fact that, on the average, 9 out of 1000 passengers took the time and fort to formally complain indicates nothing about the experiences or attitudes of the remaining 991. It is possible that many passengers were displeased but too busy to formally complain, while others had no opinion at all. Lacking more complete information about passengers’ attitudes, we cannot assume that the great majority of passengers who did not complain were happy.

　　Secondly, in the absence of information about the number of passengers per flight and about the complaint records of competing airlines, the statistics presented in the memorandum might distort the seriousness of the problem. Given that most modern aircraft carry as many as 300 to 500 passengers, it is possible that Avia received as many as 4 or 5 complaints per flight. The author unfairly trivializes this record. Moreover, the author fails to compare Avia’s record with those of its competitors. It is possible that a particular competitor received virtually no baggage-handling complaints last year. If so, Avia’s one percent complaint rate might be significant enough to motivate customers to switch to another airline.

　　In conclusion, the author has failed to demonstrate that a review of the baggage-handling procedures at Avia Airlines is not needed to maintain or increase the number of Avia’s passengers. To strengthen the argument, the author must at the very least provide affirmative evidence that most Avia passengers last year were indeed happy with baggage-handling procedures. To better evaluate the argument, we would need more information about the numbers of Avia passengers per flight last year and about the baggage-handling records of Avia’s competitors.

　　22.(4次)

　　原始寂静：

　　V1(BY: yaoqiyancoco): University hospital 比其他类型的hospital care quality 低

　　原题：

　　The following appeared in an article in thehealth section of a newspaper.

　　“There is a common misconception that university hospitals are better thancommunity or private hospitals. This notion is unfounded, however: theuniversity hospitals in our region employ 15 percent fewer doctors, have a 20percent lower success rate in treating patients, make far less overall profit,and pay their medical staff considerably less than do private hospitals.Furthermore, many doctors at university hospitals typically divide their timeamong teaching, conducting research, and treating patients. From this it seemsclear that the quality of care at university hospitals is lower than that atother kinds of hospitals

　　报纸的健康板块上的文章：

　　有一种普遍的错误观念认为大学医院比社区或私人医院更好。这个想法是无根据的，我们地区的大学医院较之私人医院，少雇15%的医生，对患者的治愈率要低20%，总体利润要小得多，给一户员工的待遇比私人医院低很多。而且，很多大学医院的医生将他们的时间分为教学，直到研究和看病几部分。从此可明显看出大学医院的服务质量比其他医院低。

　　参考思路：

　　1. 从一个医院的情况就推广到整个太草率

　　2. 治愈率低可能是因为接受的患者得的病都比较罕见等原因造成的

　　3. 工资低，总体利润低，时间分配给教学都不能一定说明质量差。可能其他福利好，接受的病人少，教学研究有助于进步

　　七宗罪思路：

　　1. 证据不足：不能说明一个医院的情况适用于整个医院

　　2. 因果关系：治愈率低不能说明质量差

　　3. 错误假设

相关链接：

1.GMAT考试作文机经AA部分 5月8日更新（十四）

2.GMAT考试作文机经AI部分 5月7日更新（十）

3.3周突破GMAT考试心得体会：备考经历